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#irpol

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Kevin Karhan :verified:<p>Seriously, is the <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/ShahidBagheri" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ShahidBagheri</span></a> a <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/shitpost" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>shitpost</span></a> <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RHP-_IrqWug" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">or</a> does <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/Iran" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Iran</span></a> actually demand to be taken seriously with an <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/AircraftCarrier" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>AircraftCarrier</span></a> design that was <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japanese_aircraft_carrier_Akagi" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">already obsolete 100 years ago</a></p><ul><li>You know a nation is detached from reality when it's self-defense and launch capabilities are being laughed at by <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Japanese_aircraft_carrier_H%C5%8Dsh%C5%8D" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">123 year old Japanese Carriers</a> with wooden decks!</li></ul><p>Like if someone were to pay me €25M (50% in advance) I'm shure I could <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ex_5EjwHLzM&amp;t=277s" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">"<em>clack</em>"</a> that thing with my scuba gear and a timer'd load!</p><p><a href="https://infosec.space/tags/sarcasm" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>sarcasm</span></a> <a href="https://infosec.space/tags/IRpol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>IRpol</span></a></p>
Ciarán Ferrie<p>And there's Fine Gael's quick response - Cllr Emma Blain announced as James Geoghegan's running mate. <a href="https://mastodon.ie/tags/irpol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>irpol</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.ie/tags/GE24" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>GE24</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.ie/tags/DBS" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>DBS</span></a></p>
Ciarán Ferrie<p>There have also been rumours that Senator Michael McDowell might join the fray, but I think he has his sights set on higher office. <a href="https://mastodon.ie/tags/irpol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>irpol</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.ie/tags/%C3%A1ras25" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>áras25</span></a></p>
Ciarán Ferrie<p>I can see at least one sitting TD losing their seat. I think the only cert is Bačik, and before today I would have said Geoghegan too. Sinn Féin's declining fortunes must be worrying Andrews. Hazel Chu has a real battle on her hands to hold Eamon Ryan's seat but it's certainly winnable. Kate O'Connell has a strong local base around Rathgar and Terenure but I don't know if that will be enough. If FG decide to run a second candidate (must likely Emma Blain) it will further split the FG vote <a href="https://mastodon.ie/tags/irpol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>irpol</span></a></p>
Ciarán Ferrie<p>Meanwhile this has put the cat among the pigeons in my own constituency. Kate O'Connell running as an independent changes the whole dynamic of the election and makes it even more unpredictable. <a href="https://mastodon.ie/tags/irpol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>irpol</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.ie/tags/DBS" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>DBS</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.ie/tags/GE24" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>GE24</span></a> </p><p>Three sitting TDs and three other high profile candidates vying for just four seats:<br>Chris Andrews TD (SF)<br>Ivana Bačik TD (Lab)<br>Jim O'Callaghan TD (FF)<br>Cllr James Geoghegan, Lord Mayor of Dublin (FG)<br>Cllr Hazel Chu (Green)<br>Kate O'Connell, former FG TD (Ind)</p><p><a href="https://m.independent.ie/opinion/analysis/kate-oconnell-snubs-simon-harris-for-election-solo-run-as-she-cant-excuse-wastage-of-public-money/a2089891651.html" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="ellipsis">m.independent.ie/opinion/analy</span><span class="invisible">sis/kate-oconnell-snubs-simon-harris-for-election-solo-run-as-she-cant-excuse-wastage-of-public-money/a2089891651.html</span></a></p>
Ciarán Ferrie<p>I would have thought that Brian Stanley was one of the more capable Sinn Féin TDs. I've seen him in action as chair of the Public Accounts Committee and he comes across very well. This must be a serious blow to the party which seems to be descending into freefall in the run up to the general election. <a href="https://mastodon.ie/tags/irpol" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>irpol</span></a> <a href="https://mastodon.ie/tags/GE24" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>GE24</span></a> </p><p>RTE news : Sinn Féin TD Brian Stanley resigns from party</p><p><a href="http://www.rte.ie/news/politics/2024/1013/1475151-brian-stanley-resign/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">http://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">rte.ie/news/politics/2024/1013</span><span class="invisible">/1475151-brian-stanley-resign/</span></a></p>